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Change rules for hierarchical beliefs

机译:改变等级观念的规则

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摘要

The paper builds a belief hierarchy as a framework common to all uncertainty measures expressing that an actor is ambiguous about his uncertain beliefs. The belief hierarchy is further interpreted by distinguishing physical and psychical worlds, associated to objective and subjective probabilities. Various rules of transformation of a belief hierarchy are introduced, especially changing subjective beliefs into objective ones. These principles are applied in order to relate different contexts of belief change, revising, updating and even focusing. The numerous belief change rules already proposed in the literature receive epistemic justifications by associating them to specific belief hierarchies and change contexts. As a result, it is shown that the resiliency of probability judgments may have some limits and be reconciled with the possibility of learning from factual messages.
机译:本文将信念等级构建为所有不确定性度量通用的框架,表示一个参与者对其不确定性信念含糊不清。通过区分与客观和主观概率相关的物理和心理世界,进一步解释了信仰等级。介绍了信念等级转换的各种规则,特别是将主观信念转变为客观信念。运用这些原则是为了将信念改变,修订,更新甚至关注的不同环境联系起来。文献中已经提出的众多信仰改变规则,通过将其与特定的信仰等级制度和改变环境相关联而获得了认识论的辩护。结果表明,概率判断的弹性可能具有一定的局限性,并且与从事实信息中学习的可能性相一致。

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